CREATION OF PREDICTIVE MACHINE LEARNING MODELS THAT SUPPORT STARTUP EVALUATION, INNOVATION GROWTH, AND ENTREPRENEURSHIP IN THE U.S. ECONOMY
Downloads
Objective: Startup success prediction is crucial for venture capital investment decisions and entrepreneurial ecosystem development. This paper presents predictive machine learning models designed to evaluate startup potential, forecast innovation growth, and support entrepreneurship in the U.S. economy. Method: Our framework integrates survival analysis, network analysis, and natural language processing to assess startup viability across multiple dimensions including team composition, market opportunity, and product innovation. The models are trained on comprehensive datasets encompassing startup characteristics, funding histories, and outcomes. Results: Evaluation results demonstrate 84% accuracy in predicting startup success within three years, with feature importance analysis revealing team experience and market timing as critical success factors. Novelty: The research contributes to entrepreneurial finance literature and provides practical tools for investors and policymakers.
J. Kim, H. Kim, and Y. Geum, “How to succeed in the market? Predicting startup success using a machine learning approach,” Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change, vol. 193, 2023.
M. R. Bidgoli, I. R. Vanani, and M. Goodarzi, “Predicting the success of startups using a machine learning approach,” J. Innov. Entrep., vol. 13, 2024.
J. Park, S. Choi, and Y. Feng, “Predicting startup success using bias-free machine learning and GAN,” J. Big Data, vol. 11, 2024.
D. U. Sompura, P. Jain, and I. M. Serene, “Start-Up Success Prediction Analysis Using Hybrid Machine Learning Technique,” Int. J. Intell. Syst. Appl. Eng., 2024.
I. W. K. Ningrum, F. Ridho, and A. W. Wijayanto, “Predicting Startup Success Using Machine Learning Approach,” J. Appl. Informatics Comput., vol. 8, no. 2, 2024.
S. Begum, “AI at Scale: Predictive Analytics as a Strategic Engine for National Competitiveness in U.S. Startup and Small Business Financing,” Int. J. Res. Publ. Rev., vol. 5, no. 12, pp. 6129–6137, 2024, doi: 10.55248/gengpi.6.1025.3664.
S. Begum, “Optimizing Capital Deployment in Post-Pandemic America: AI-Powered Predictive Analytics for Startup Resilience and Growth,” Int. J. Comput. Appl. Technol. Res., vol. 11, no. 12, pp. 700–710, 2022, doi: 10.7753/IJCATR1112.1030.
C. E. Giraudo, M. Giudici, and M. Guerini, “Machine learning for early prediction of startup success,” Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change, vol. 146, pp. 232–241, 2019.
R. Nanda, S. Samila, and O. Sorenson, “Machine learning and entrepreneurship: A review and research agenda,” Strateg. Entrep. J., vol. 14, no. 4, pp. 600–620, 2020.
K. P. Mishu, M. T. Ahmed, M. M. U. A. M. S. Billah, M. D. H. Gazi, S. Begum, and M. M. Hasan, “AI-Driven Supply Chain Management in the United States: Machine Learning for Predictive Analytics and Business Decision-Making,” Cuest. Fisioter., vol. 53, no. 3, pp. 5755–5768, 2024, doi: 10.48047/s7cc5r20.
M. I. Jobiullah, S. Begum, J. Sarwar, V. Kumar, and A. B. Gupta, “Reimagining U.S. Cyber Defense Through Intelligent Automation,” Int. J. Sci. Res. Mod. Technol., vol. 3, no. 12, 2024, doi: 10.38124/ijsrmt.v3i12.1196.
S. Begum, “Artificial Intelligence and Economic Resilience: A Review of Predictive Financial Modelling for Post-Pandemic Recovery in the United States SME Sector,” Int. J. Innov. Sci. Res. Technol., vol. 10, no. 7, 2025, doi: 10.38124/ijisrt/25jul1726.
S. Begum et al., “Robotic AI Systems for Fake News Detection in IoT-Connected Social Media Platforms Using Sensor-Driven Cross-Verification,” J. Posthumanism, vol. 5, no. 11, pp. 391–405, 2025, doi: 10.63332/joph.v5i11.3688.
A. R. Talukder, F. Shahrear, S. Begum, and M. I. Jobiullah, “Underwater Image Enhancement and Restoration with YOLO-Based Object Detection and Recognition,” Well Test. J., vol. 34, no. S3, pp. 727–748, 2025.
S. Begum, “AI at Scale: Predictive Analytics as a Strategic Engine for National Competitiveness in US Startup and Small Business Financing,” Int. J. Progress. Res. Eng. Manag. Sci. Dev., vol. 2582, p. 7421, 2025.
Copyright (c) 2024 Fatima Al-Hassan, Salman Al-Farisi, Laila Al-Mutairi, Omar Al-Qahtani

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.














